Market Closed
This market has resolved. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?
Wikipedia Attention
This event has 3 active outcome markets. April 30: 9%, April 30, 2026: 2%, April 30, 2026: 1%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~89%.
Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?
Price History · 30 days
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?" at 2% YES / 98% NO. In the last 24 hours, $3K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.50pp. The market closes on December 31, 2025.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-22). "Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 2%, NO 98%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1397302