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Markets/Senators vs. Rangers
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Senators vs. Rangers

Closes March 23, 2026

Polymarket Price

65%YES
36%NO

Volume 24h

$502K

Liquidity

$153K

Bid / Ask

64% / 65%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

65%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Senators vs. Rangers

Full event →

5 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

No historical data yet

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 65%99%
Buy YES@ 65¢
Edge

+0.8%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.4%
½ Kelly0.7%
Buy NO@ 36¢

-1.4%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.8% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.4%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Senators vs. Rangers" at 65% YES / 35% NO. In the last 24 hours, $502K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 65%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 23, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Senators vs. Rangers." Prediction market snapshot: YES 65%, NO 35%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1427923