Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Will Denmark win on 2026-03-26?
Closed March 26, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$320K
Liquidity
$17K
Expert Signal
98%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will Italy win on 2026-03-26?
2026
18 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
76% YES
Mar 26, 2026
Biggest move: +21.0pp
76% → 97%
Mar 26, 2026
Peak probability
100% YES — highest in period
Mar 26, 2026
Current
100% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Mar 26, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.7%
EV per $ wagered
-2.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Denmark win on 2026-03-26?" at 76% YES / 24% NO. In the last 24 hours, $320K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on March 26, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-26). "Will Denmark win on 2026-03-26?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 76%, NO 24%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1455220
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Forecaster Signals
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
Markets whose prices move with this one.
Event Cluster
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Full price history for your own analysis.