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Markets/Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?
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Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?

Closes April 1, 2026

Polymarket Price

1%YES
99%NO

Volume 24h

$231K

Liquidity

$198K

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?

March

Full event →
above $64,000 on March 21?
100%
above $62,000 on March 21?
100%
above $60,000 on March 21?
100%
above $66,000 on March 21?
100%
above $62,000 on March 22?
100%
above $64,000 on March 22?
99%
above $68,000 on March 21?
98%
above $68,000 on March 22?
95%
above $70,000 on March 21?
76%
above $70,000 on March 22?
66%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
39%
$80,000 in March?
18%
above $72,000 on March 22?
14%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?
13%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?
5%
$85,000 in March?
3%
above $72,000 on March 21?
3%
above $74,000 on March 22?
2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?
1%
above $74,000 on March 21?
1%
$90,000 in March?
1%
above $76,000 on March 22?
1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March?
1%
$72,000 on March 20?
1%
above $78,000 on March 22?
1%
$95,000 in March?
1%
$100,000 in March?
0%
$110,000 in March?
0%
$105,000 in March?
0%
$73,000 on March 20?
0%
above $80,000 on March 22?
0%
$150,000 in March?
0%
$74,000 on March 20?
0%
above $76,000 on March 21?
0%
above $82,000 on March 22?
0%
above $80,000 on March 21?
0%
above $78,000 on March 21?
0%
$76,000 on March 20?
0%
$78,000 on March 20?
0%
$75,000 on March 20?
0%
$77,000 on March 20?
0%

41 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

-20.1pp

Key Moments

First recorded

21% YES

Mar 1, 2026

Trough probability

1% YES — lowest in period

Mar 19, 2026

Biggest move: -18.5pp

21% → 3%

Mar 1, 2026

Current

1% YES (+0.1pp recent)

Mar 21, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 1%99%
Buy YES@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $231K has been traded. The market closes on April 1, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1473060

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