Will Richard Tabor be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?
Closes June 2, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$90
Liquidity
$11K
Bid / Ask
51% / 54%
Spread
3.00pp
Expert Signal
53%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will Steven Boston be the Republican nominee for…
4 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.0%
EV per $ wagered
-1.1%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Richard Tabor be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?" at 53% YES / 47% NO. In the last 24 hours, $90 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 53%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on June 2, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-28). "Will Richard Tabor be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 53%, NO 47%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1492419
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