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Markets/Will Alina Habba be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?
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Will Alina Habba be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?

Closes June 2, 2026

Polymarket Price

0%YES
100%NO

Volume 24h

$985

Liquidity

$8K

Bid / Ask

0% / 0%

Spread

0.10pp

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+100.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Alina Habba be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $985 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.10 percentage points. The market closes on June 2, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Will Alina Habba be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1492424

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

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Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 1%99%
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EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

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