ForecastMind
Markets/Flames vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5
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Flames vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5

Closes March 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

78%YES
22%NO

Volume 24h

$609

Liquidity

$5K

Bid / Ask

77% / 79%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

78%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Event Distribution

Flames vs. Avalanche

Full event →
Flames vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5
78%
Flames vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5
58%
Flames vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5
45%
Flames vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5
26%
Flames vs. Avalanche
24%

5 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

No historical data yet

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 78%99%
Buy YES@ 78¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 22¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Flames vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5" at 78% YES / 22% NO. In the last 24 hours, $609 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 78%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Flames vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 78%, NO 22%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1492907

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.