Markets/Maple Leafs vs. Ducks: O/U 4.5

Maple Leafs vs. Ducks: O/U 4.5

Data as of Mar 30, 2026, 07:58 PM UTC

Closes March 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

83%YES

17%NO

Volume 24h

$351

Liquidity

$5K

Bid / Ask

82% / 84%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

83%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

Event Distribution

Maple Leafs vs. Ducks

Full event →

Maple Leafs vs. Ducks: O/U 4.5

83%

Maple Leafs vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5

66%

Maple Leafs vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5

55%

Maple Leafs vs. Ducks

38%

Maple Leafs vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5

32%

5 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

No historical data yet

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 83%99%

Buy YES@ 83¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 17¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Maple Leafs vs. Ducks: O/U 4.5" at 83% YES / 17% NO. In the last 24 hours, $351 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 83%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-30). "Maple Leafs vs. Ducks: O/U 4.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 83%, NO 17%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1492917

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.