ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Senators vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5
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Senators vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5

Closed March 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

100%YES
0%NO

Volume 24h

$551K

Liquidity

$330K

Expert Signal

98%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market-1.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Senators vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $551K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on March 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Senators vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1499914

Outcome Markets5 markets

This event has 5 active outcome markets. Senators vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5: 100%, Senators vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5: 100%, Senators vs. Panthers: O/U 7.5: 100%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+47.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

53% YES

Mar 25, 2026

Trough probability

42% YES — lowest in period

Mar 31, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

48%

Mar 29, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

50%

Mar 30, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

95%

Apr 1, 2026

Biggest move: +58.5pp

42% → 100%

Apr 1, 2026

Peak probability

100% YES — highest in period

Apr 1, 2026

Current

100% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Apr 1, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 99%99%
Buy YES@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this