Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Will PLC win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
Closed March 8, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$12
Liquidity
$309
Bid / Ask
89% / 98%
Spread
9.50pp
Expert Signal
94%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.4%
EV per $ wagered
-5.5%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will PLC win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?" at 94% YES / 6% NO. In the last 24 hours, $12 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 94%. The bid-ask spread is 9.50 percentage points. The market closes on March 8, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-29). "Will PLC win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 94%, NO 6%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1501207
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