Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Will CD win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
Closed March 8, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$7
Liquidity
$4K
Bid / Ask
0% / 6%
Spread
5.60pp
Expert Signal
3%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
15% YES
Mar 27, 2026
Biggest move: -8.4pp
14% → 6%
Mar 28, 2026
Current
3% YES (-0.1pp recent)
Mar 28, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-3.2%
EV per $ wagered
+0.1%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will CD win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?" at 3% YES / 97% NO. In the last 24 hours, $7 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 3%. The bid-ask spread is 5.60 percentage points. The market closes on March 8, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-29). "Will CD win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 3%, NO 97%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1501209
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