Will Doug Burgum be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Closes December 31, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$3K
Liquidity
$0
Bid / Ask
0% / 2%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Doug Burgum be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $3K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on December 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-03). "Will Doug Burgum be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1509646
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
0% YES
Apr 2, 2026
Current
0% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 2, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this