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Markets/Will Susie Wiles be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
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Will Susie Wiles be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Closes December 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

3%YES
98%NO

Volume 24h

$30

Liquidity

$5K

Bid / Ask

0% / 5%

Spread

4.40pp

Expert Signal

3%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Susie Wiles be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?" at 3% YES / 97% NO. In the last 24 hours, $30 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 3%. The bid-ask spread is 4.40 percentage points. The market closes on December 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Will Susie Wiles be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 3%, NO 97%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1509657

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

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Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 3%99%
Buy YES@ 3¢
Edge

+20.0%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.5%
½ Kelly0.3%
Buy NO@ 98¢

-0.5%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+20.0% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.5%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this