ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Czechia vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 3.5
Share on X

Czechia vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 3.5

Closed March 26, 2026

Polymarket Price

78%YES
23%NO

Volume 24h

$7K

Liquidity

$6K

Expert Signal

98%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market-1.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

No historical data yet

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 78%99%
Buy YES@ 78¢
Edge

+0.6%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly2.2%
½ Kelly1.1%
Buy NO@ 22¢

-2.2%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.6% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 2.2%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Czechia vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 3.5" at 78% YES / 22% NO. In the last 24 hours, $7K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on March 26, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-26). "Czechia vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 3.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 78%, NO 22%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1570829