Markets/Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 21?

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 21?

Data as of Mar 21, 2026, 05:21 AM UTC

Closes March 21, 2026

Polymarket Price

2%YES

98%NO

Volume 24h

$12K

Liquidity

$10K

Bid / Ask

2% / 2%

Spread

0.10pp

Expert Signal

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence0%

methodmarket

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?

March

Full event →

above $1,800 on March 21?

100%

between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 21?

94%

Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?

between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 21?

between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 21?

between $2,300 and $2,400 on March 21?

between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 21?

between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 21?

between $2,400 and $2,500 on March 21?

between $1,600 and $1,700 on March 21?

between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 21?

11 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

-2.2pp

Key Moments

First recorded

5% YES

Mar 21, 2026

Current

3% YES (-2.3pp recent)

Mar 21, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 2%99%

Buy YES@ 2¢

-4.8%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 98¢

Edge

+0.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly4.8%

½ Kelly2.4%

Buy NO—+0.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 4.8%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 21?" at 2% YES / 98% NO. In the last 24 hours, $12K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.10 percentage points. The market closes on March 21, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 21?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 2%, NO 98%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1588576

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