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Markets/Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 23?
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Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 23?

Closes March 23, 2026

Polymarket Price

31%YES
69%NO

Volume 24h

$12K

Liquidity

$13K

Bid / Ask

31% / 32%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

32%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and…

March

Full event →
between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 22?
100%
between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 23?
38%
between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 23?
31%
between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 23?
18%
between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 23?
3%
between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 23?
1%
between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 23?
0%
between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 22?
0%
between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 22?
0%
between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 22?
0%
between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 22?
0%
between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 22?
0%
between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 22?
0%
between $78,000 and $80,000 on March 23?
0%
between $78,000 and $80,000 on March 22?
0%

15 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

-0.8pp

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 31%99%
Buy YES@ 31¢
Edge

+0.5%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.2%
½ Kelly0.1%
Buy NO@ 69¢

-0.2%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+0.5% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.2%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 23?" at 31% YES / 69% NO. In the last 24 hours, $12K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 32%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 23, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-22). "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 23?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 31%, NO 69%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1607585

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