Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 23?
Closed March 23, 2026
⬡ Cross-venue entityPolymarket Price
Volume 24h
$164K
Liquidity
$47K
Expert Signal
98%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
92% YES
Mar 16, 2026
Biggest move: +5.6pp
92% → 98%
Mar 16, 2026
Peak probability
100% YES — highest in period
Mar 23, 2026
Current
100% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Mar 23, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.4%
EV per $ wagered
-28.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 23?" at 99% YES / 1% NO. In the last 24 hours, $164K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on March 23, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-24). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 23?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 99%, NO 1%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1607674
Go Deeper
Entity Hub
All related markets, signals, and news in one view.
Forecaster Signals
See all markets where experts diverge from Polymarket prices.
Venue Divergence
Where Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt disagree most.
Correlated Markets
Markets whose prices move with this one.
Event Cluster
All markets about the same event across venues.
Download 90d CSV
Full price history for your own analysis.