Spurs vs. Heat
Closes March 23, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$1.3M
Liquidity
$340K
Bid / Ask
62% / 63%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
63%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Spurs vs. Heat
6 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
66% YES
Mar 23, 2026
Current
63% YES (-2.0pp recent)
Mar 23, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.8%
EV per $ wagered
-1.3%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Spurs vs. Heat" at 61% YES / 39% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1.3M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 63%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 23, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Spurs vs. Heat." Prediction market snapshot: YES 61%, NO 39%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1627634
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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