Markets/Nuggets vs. Suns

Nuggets vs. Suns

Data as of Mar 24, 2026, 05:32 PM UTC

Closes March 25, 2026

Polymarket Price

69%YES

32%NO

Volume 24h

$865K

Liquidity

$292K

Bid / Ask

68% / 69%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

68%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market-0.4pp

confidence50%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Nuggets vs. Suns

Full event →

Nuggets vs. Suns

69%

Nuggets vs. Suns: 1H Moneyline

61%

Nuggets vs. Suns: O/U 232.5

50%

Nuggets vs. Suns: O/U 233.5

48%

Nuggets vs. Suns: 1H O/U 113.5

47%

Nuggets vs. Suns: O/U 234.5

46%

Nuggets vs. Suns: O/U 235.5

43%

7 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

+17.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

50% YES

Mar 18, 2026

Biggest move: +10.5pp

60% → 71%

Mar 19, 2026

Peak probability

74% YES — highest in period

Mar 20, 2026

Current

68% YES (-1.0pp recent)

Mar 24, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 69%99%

Buy YES@ 69¢

Edge

+0.7%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.6%

½ Kelly0.8%

Buy NO@ 31¢

-1.6%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+0.7% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.6%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Nuggets vs. Suns" at 69% YES / 31% NO. In the last 24 hours, $865K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 68%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 25, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-24). "Nuggets vs. Suns." Prediction market snapshot: YES 69%, NO 31%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1639626