ForecastMind
Markets/Texas A&M Aggies vs. Houston Cougars
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Texas A&M Aggies vs. Houston Cougars

Closes March 21, 2026

Polymarket Price

18%YES
83%NO

Volume 24h

$888K

Liquidity

$3.3M

Expert Signal

18%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence0%
methodmarket

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-1.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

19% YES

Mar 20, 2026

Current

18% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 21, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 18%99%
Buy YES@ 18¢
Edge

+2.9%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.6%
½ Kelly0.3%
Buy NO@ 83¢

-0.6%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+2.9% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.6%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Texas A&M Aggies vs. Houston Cougars" at 18% YES / 82% NO. In the last 24 hours, $888K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 18%. The market closes on March 21, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Texas A&M Aggies vs. Houston Cougars." Prediction market snapshot: YES 18%, NO 82%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1659175