Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Pelicans vs. Pistons
Closed March 26, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$1.1M
Liquidity
$307K
Bid / Ask
36% / 38%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
37%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Pelicans vs. Pistons
8 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
33% YES
Mar 20, 2026
Trough probability
19% YES — lowest in period
Mar 21, 2026
Biggest move: +14.5pp
19% → 33%
Mar 22, 2026
Current
34% YES (-3.0pp recent)
Mar 26, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.3%
EV per $ wagered
-0.8%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Pelicans vs. Pistons" at 38% YES / 62% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1.1M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 37%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 26, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-26). "Pelicans vs. Pistons." Prediction market snapshot: YES 38%, NO 62%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1662009
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Venue Divergence
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Event Cluster
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Download 90d CSV
Full price history for your own analysis.