Markets/Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 27?

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 27?

Data as of Mar 26, 2026, 11:28 PM UTC

Closes March 27, 2026

Polymarket Price

94%YES

6%NO

Volume 24h

$104K

Liquidity

$28K

Bid / Ask

94% / 95%

Spread

0.90pp

Expert Signal

96%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?

March

Full event →

24 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

+17.3pp

Key Moments

First recorded

78% YES

Mar 20, 2026

Trough probability

50% YES — lowest in period

Mar 20, 2026

Biggest move: +34.5pp

51% → 85%

Mar 21, 2026

Peak probability

99% YES — highest in period

Mar 26, 2026

Current

95% YES (-0.4pp recent)

Mar 26, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 94%99%

Buy YES@ 94¢

-0.4%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 6¢

Edge

+6.2%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.4%

½ Kelly0.2%

Buy NO—+6.2% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.4%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 27?" at 94% YES / 6% NO. In the last 24 hours, $104K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 96%. The bid-ask spread is 0.90 percentage points. The market closes on March 27, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-26). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 27?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 94%, NO 6%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1662876