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Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Will Trump say "Khamenei" this week? (March 29)

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Will Trump say "Khamenei" this week? (March 29)

Data as of Mar 30, 2026, 04:54 PM UTC

Closed March 29, 2026

Polymarket Price

0%YES

100%NO

Volume 24h

$6K

Liquidity

Expert Signal

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+100.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

Price History

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Price History

-3.3pp

Key Moments

First recorded

14% YES

Mar 27, 2026

Trough probability

8% YES — lowest in period

Mar 28, 2026

Biggest move: +10.8pp

12% → 23%

Mar 28, 2026

Peak probability

23% YES — highest in period

Mar 28, 2026

Current

11% YES (-0.1pp recent)

Mar 28, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 1%99%

Buy YES@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Trump say "Khamenei" this week? (March 29)" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $6K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on March 29, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-30). "Will Trump say "Khamenei" this week? (March 29)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1665150

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.