Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Wizards vs. Warriors
Closed March 28, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$691K
Liquidity
$94K
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Wizards vs. Warriors
11 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
14% YES
Mar 27, 2026
Trough probability
7% YES — lowest in period
Mar 28, 2026
Biggest move: +40.0pp
7% → 47%
Mar 28, 2026
Current
47% YES (+40.0pp recent)
Mar 28, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+7.7%
EV per $ wagered
-0.5%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Wizards vs. Warriors" at 7% YES / 93% NO. In the last 24 hours, $691K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on March 28, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-28). "Wizards vs. Warriors." Prediction market snapshot: YES 7%, NO 93%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1672203
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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