Markets/Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 28?

Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 28?

Data as of Mar 28, 2026, 09:26 AM UTC

Closes March 28, 2026

Polymarket Price

52%YES

49%NO

Volume 24h

$12K

Liquidity

$13K

Bid / Ask

51% / 53%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

52%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and…

March

Full event →

between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 28?

60%

between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 28?

40%

between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 28?

between $2,300 and $2,400 on March 28?

between $2,400 and $2,500 on March 28?

between $2,500 and $2,600 on March 28?

6 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

-13.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

66% YES

Mar 28, 2026

Trough probability

33% YES — lowest in period

Mar 28, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

49%

Mar 28, 2026

Biggest move: +19.0pp

33% → 52%

Mar 28, 2026

Current

52% YES (+19.0pp recent)

Mar 28, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 52%99%

Buy YES@ 52¢

Edge

+1.0%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.0%

½ Kelly0.5%

Buy NO@ 49¢

-1.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+1.0% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.0%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 28?" at 52% YES / 48% NO. In the last 24 hours, $12K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 52%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 28, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-28). "Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 28?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 52%, NO 48%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1672947

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