LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs
Closes March 22, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$3.7M
Liquidity
$89K
Bid / Ask
15% / 17%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
14%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner
5 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
28% YES
Mar 21, 2026
Biggest move: +19.0pp
28% → 48%
Mar 22, 2026
Current
48% YES (+19.0pp recent)
Mar 22, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+3.7%
EV per $ wagered
-0.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs" at 14% YES / 86% NO. In the last 24 hours, $3.7M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 14%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 22, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-22). "LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs." Prediction market snapshot: YES 14%, NO 86%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1674395
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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