ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Spread: Knicks (-18.5)
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Spread: Knicks (-18.5)

Closed March 22, 2026

Polymarket Price

60%YES
40%NO

Volume 24h

$12K

Liquidity

$27K

Bid / Ask

59% / 61%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

60%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Spread: Knicks (-19.5)

Full event →

6 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

+11.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

60% YES

Mar 22, 2026

Biggest move: +9.5pp

62% → 71%

Mar 23, 2026

Current

71% YES (+9.5pp recent)

Mar 23, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 60%99%
Buy YES@ 60¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 40¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Knicks (-18.5)" at 60% YES / 40% NO. In the last 24 hours, $12K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 60%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 22, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Spread: Knicks (-18.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 60%, NO 40%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1677305