Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B
Closes March 23, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$729K
Liquidity
$105K
Bid / Ask
12% / 13%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
14%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST…
3 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
18% YES
Mar 23, 2026
Trough probability
10% YES — lowest in period
Mar 23, 2026
Biggest move: -8.0pp
18% → 10%
Mar 23, 2026
Current
14% YES (+4.0pp recent)
Mar 23, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+4.3%
EV per $ wagered
-0.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B" at 12% YES / 88% NO. In the last 24 hours, $729K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 14%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 23, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B." Prediction market snapshot: YES 12%, NO 88%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1677899
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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