ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Timberwolves vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5
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Timberwolves vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5

Closed March 23, 2026

Polymarket Price

28%YES
73%NO

Volume 24h

$38K

Liquidity

$3K

Expert Signal

28%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-53.9pp

Key Moments

First recorded

54% YES

Mar 22, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

24%

Mar 23, 2026

Biggest move: -30.5pp

55% → 24%

Mar 23, 2026

Current

0% YES (-9.4pp recent)

Mar 23, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 28%99%
Buy YES@ 28¢
Edge

+1.8%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.7%
½ Kelly0.3%
Buy NO@ 73¢

-0.7%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.8% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.7%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Timberwolves vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5" at 28% YES / 72% NO. In the last 24 hours, $38K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 28%. The market closes on March 23, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Timberwolves vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 28%, NO 72%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1679853