Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Kings vs. Hawks
Closed March 28, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$1.7M
Liquidity
$0
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Kings vs. Hawks" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1.7M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on March 28, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Kings vs. Hawks." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1682609
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
50% YES
Mar 22, 2026
Trough probability
0% YES — lowest in period
Mar 29, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
45%
Mar 22, 2026
Biggest move: -26.0pp
50% → 24%
Mar 22, 2026
Current
0% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Mar 29, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this