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Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 1?
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Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 1?

Closed March 22, 2026

Polymarket Price

21%YES
80%NO

Volume 24h

$75

Liquidity

$221

Bid / Ask

1% / 40%

Spread

39.00pp

Expert Signal

21%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

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Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 21%99%
Buy YES@ 21¢
Edge

+2.4%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.6%
½ Kelly0.3%
Buy NO@ 80¢

-0.6%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+2.4% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.6%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 1?" at 21% YES / 79% NO. In the last 24 hours, $75 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 21%. The bid-ask spread is 39.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 22, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-22). "Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 1?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 21%, NO 79%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1683136