Markets/Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 29?

Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 29?

Data as of Mar 29, 2026, 07:08 AM UTC

Closes March 29, 2026

Polymarket Price

45%YES

56%NO

Volume 24h

$13K

Liquidity

$15K

Bid / Ask

38% / 40%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

39%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 29?

March

Full event →

between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 29?

39%

between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 29?

between $1,600 and $1,700 on March 29?

between $2,300 and $2,400 on March 29?

between $2,400 and $2,500 on March 29?

above $2,400 on March 29?

greater than $2,500 on March 29?

7 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

-6.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

52% YES

Mar 28, 2026

Trough probability

34% YES — lowest in period

Mar 29, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

43%

Mar 29, 2026

Biggest move: -8.0pp

51% → 43%

Mar 29, 2026

Current

46% YES (+6.5pp recent)

Mar 29, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 45%99%

Buy YES@ 45¢

Edge

+1.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.9%

½ Kelly0.5%

Buy NO@ 55¢

-0.9%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+1.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.9%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 29?" at 45% YES / 55% NO. In the last 24 hours, $13K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 39%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 29, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-29). "Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 29?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 45%, NO 55%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1683425

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