Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 29?
Closes March 29, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$23K
Liquidity
$20K
Bid / Ask
11% / 12%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
12%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 28?
March
22 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
26% YES
Mar 27, 2026
Trough probability
13% YES — lowest in period
Mar 27, 2026
Biggest move: -6.0pp
26% → 20%
Mar 27, 2026
Current
13% YES (+0.5pp recent)
Mar 27, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+4.3%
EV per $ wagered
-0.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 29?" at 12% YES / 88% NO. In the last 24 hours, $23K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 12%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 29, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-27). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 29?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 12%, NO 88%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1683433
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Forecaster Signals
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
Markets whose prices move with this one.
Event Cluster
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