Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)
Closed March 23, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$54K
Liquidity
$186K
Bid / Ask
16% / 20%
Spread
4.00pp
Expert Signal
10%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)
5 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
47% YES
Mar 22, 2026
Current
48% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Mar 23, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Raptors (-4.5)" at 47% YES / 53% NO. In the last 24 hours, $54K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 10%. The bid-ask spread is 4.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 23, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Spread: Raptors (-4.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 47%, NO 53%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1685764
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