Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Spread: Trail Blazers (-14.5)
Closed March 24, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$147K
Liquidity
$163K
Bid / Ask
75% / 87%
Spread
12.00pp
Expert Signal
84%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Nets vs. Trail Blazers
13 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
56% YES
Mar 23, 2026
Biggest move: +12.0pp
56% → 68%
Mar 24, 2026
Current
68% YES (+12.0pp recent)
Mar 24, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.9%
EV per $ wagered
-1.1%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Trail Blazers (-14.5)" at 55% YES / 45% NO. In the last 24 hours, $147K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 84%. The bid-ask spread is 12.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 24, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-24). "Spread: Trail Blazers (-14.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 55%, NO 45%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1687848
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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