ForecastMind
Markets/Norman Powell: Assists O/U 2.5
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Norman Powell: Assists O/U 2.5

Closes March 23, 2026

Polymarket Price

25%YES
76%NO

Volume 24h

$2K

Liquidity

$4K

Bid / Ask

11% / 41%

Spread

30.00pp

Expert Signal

26%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Drake Powell: Points O/U 8.5

Full event →

4 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

-5.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

30% YES

Mar 23, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

55%

Mar 23, 2026

Biggest move: +25.5pp

30% → 55%

Mar 23, 2026

Peak probability

55% YES — highest in period

Mar 23, 2026

Current

25% YES (-1.0pp recent)

Mar 23, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 25%99%
Buy YES@ 25¢
Edge

+2.0%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.7%
½ Kelly0.3%
Buy NO@ 76¢

-0.7%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+2.0% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.7%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Norman Powell: Assists O/U 2.5" at 25% YES / 75% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 26%. The bid-ask spread is 30.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 23, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Norman Powell: Assists O/U 2.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 25%, NO 75%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1688100