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Markets/Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on March 23?
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Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on March 23?

Closes March 24, 2026

Polymarket Price

5%YES
95%NO

Volume 24h

$37K

Liquidity

$10K

Bid / Ask

4% / 6%

Spread

2.30pp

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+8.1pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Bitcoin Up or Down on March 23?

March

Full event →
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 23?
100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 March 23-29?
30%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
28%
Will Solana dip to $80 in March?
26%
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 23-29?
16%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 March 23-29?
9%
Will Solana dip to $70 in March?
8%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?
7%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 March 23-29?
6%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 March 23-29?
4%
Will Solana dip to $60 in March?
4%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?
3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on March 23?
2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?
1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 March 23-29?
1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March?
1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on March 23?
1%
Will Solana dip to $50 in March?
1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March?
0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 March 23-29?
0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in March?
0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in March?
0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on March 23?
0%
less than $64,000 on March 24?
0%
Will Solana dip to $30 in March?
0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in March?
0%
Will Solana dip to $40 in March?
0%
Will Solana dip to $20 in March?
0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on March 23?
0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on March 23?
0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March?
0%
Will Solana dip to $10 in March?
0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on March 23?
0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on March 23?
0%

34 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

-46.7pp

Key Moments

First recorded

49% YES

Mar 23, 2026

Trough probability

2% YES — lowest in period

Mar 23, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

70%

Mar 23, 2026

Biggest move: +33.5pp

37% → 70%

Mar 23, 2026

Peak probability

70% YES — highest in period

Mar 23, 2026

Current

2% YES (+0.3pp recent)

Mar 23, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 5%99%
Buy YES@ 5¢
Edge

+9.9%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.5%
½ Kelly0.2%
Buy NO@ 95¢

-0.5%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+9.9% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.5%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on March 23?" at 5% YES / 95% NO. In the last 24 hours, $37K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 2.30 percentage points. The market closes on March 24, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on March 23?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 5%, NO 95%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1688352

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