Markets/Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 March 23-29?

Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 March 23-29?

Data as of Mar 27, 2026, 04:18 PM UTC

Closes March 30, 2026

Polymarket Price

9%YES

91%NO

Volume 24h

$19K

Liquidity

$28K

Bid / Ask

11% / 12%

Spread

1.20pp

Expert Signal

12%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

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Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 9%99%

Buy YES@ 9¢

-1.1%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 91¢

Edge

+0.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.1%

½ Kelly0.5%

Buy NO—+0.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.1%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 March 23-29?" at 9% YES / 91% NO. In the last 24 hours, $19K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 12%. The bid-ask spread is 1.20 percentage points. The market closes on March 30, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-27). "Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 March 23-29?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 9%, NO 91%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1688407

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