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Markets/Marcus Smart: Rebounds O/U 2.5
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Marcus Smart: Rebounds O/U 2.5

Closes March 23, 2026

Polymarket Price

28%YES
72%NO

Volume 24h

$160

Liquidity

$3K

Bid / Ask

16% / 31%

Spread

15.00pp

Expert Signal

28%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Marcus Smart: Points O/U 8.5

Full event →

3 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

No historical data yet

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 28%99%
Buy YES@ 28¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 72¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Marcus Smart: Rebounds O/U 2.5" at 28% YES / 72% NO. In the last 24 hours, $160 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 28%. The bid-ask spread is 15.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 23, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Marcus Smart: Rebounds O/U 2.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 28%, NO 72%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1688522