ForecastMind
Markets/Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 6.5
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Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 6.5

Closes March 24, 2026

Polymarket Price

39%YES
62%NO

Volume 24h

$2K

Liquidity

$145

Bid / Ask

21% / 37%

Spread

16.00pp

Expert Signal

29%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 6.5

Full event →

5 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

No historical data yet

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 39%99%
Buy YES@ 39¢
Edge

+1.3%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.8%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO@ 62¢

-0.8%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.3% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.8%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 6.5" at 39% YES / 61% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 29%. The bid-ask spread is 16.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 24, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 6.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 39%, NO 61%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1688559