Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines
Closes March 27, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$692K
Liquidity
$1.9M
Bid / Ask
18% / 19%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
19%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines
4 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
20% YES
Mar 27, 2026
Current
19% YES (-1.0pp recent)
Mar 27, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+2.7%
EV per $ wagered
-0.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines" at 19% YES / 81% NO. In the last 24 hours, $692K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 19%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 27, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-27). "Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines." Prediction market snapshot: YES 19%, NO 81%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1688876
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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