Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Heat vs. Pacers
Closed March 29, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$1.3M
Liquidity
$121K
Bid / Ask
67% / 68%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
74%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Heat vs. Pacers
16 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
76% YES
Mar 29, 2026
Biggest move: -11.0pp
77% → 66%
Mar 29, 2026
Current
66% YES (-11.0pp recent)
Mar 29, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.6%
EV per $ wagered
-2.3%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Heat vs. Pacers" at 79% YES / 21% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1.3M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 74%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 29, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-29). "Heat vs. Pacers." Prediction market snapshot: YES 79%, NO 21%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1691443
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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