Markets/Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 30?

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 30?

Data as of Mar 30, 2026, 08:32 AM UTC

Closes March 30, 2026

Polymarket Price

92%YES

9%NO

Volume 24h

$33K

Liquidity

$20K

Bid / Ask

91% / 93%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

97%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+5.5pp

confidence40%

methodbayesian

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 30?

March

Full event →

above $1,600 on March 30?

100%

above $1,700 on March 30?

100%

above $1,900 on March 30?

99%

above $2,000 on March 30?

92%

above $2,100 on March 30?

18%

above $2,200 on March 30?

between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 30?

above $2,300 on March 30?

above $2,400 on March 30?

above $2,600 on March 30?

above $2,500 on March 30?

between $2,300 and $2,400 on March 30?

12 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

+34.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

54% YES

Mar 30, 2026

Biggest move: +15.5pp

58% → 74%

Mar 30, 2026

Current

89% YES (+6.0pp recent)

Mar 30, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 92%99%

Buy YES@ 92¢

Edge

+0.5%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly5.9%

½ Kelly2.9%

Buy NO@ 8¢

-5.9%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+0.5% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 5.9%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 30?" at 92% YES / 8% NO. In the last 24 hours, $33K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 97%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 30, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-30). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 30?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 92%, NO 8%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1692105

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