Spread: Raptors (-10.5)
Closes March 24, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$90K
Liquidity
$495K
Bid / Ask
47% / 48%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
48%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Spread: Raptors (-12.5)
3 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
47% YES
Mar 23, 2026
Current
48% YES (+1.0pp recent)
Mar 23, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.1%
EV per $ wagered
-1.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Raptors (-10.5)" at 48% YES / 52% NO. In the last 24 hours, $90K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 48%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 24, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-24). "Spread: Raptors (-10.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 48%, NO 52%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1694586
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