Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Josh Hart: Points O/U 11.5
Closed March 24, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$7K
Liquidity
$3
Bid / Ask
3% / 98%
Spread
95.00pp
Expert Signal
51%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Josh Hart: Points O/U 11.5
3 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
54% YES
Mar 24, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
0%
Mar 25, 2026
Biggest move: -50.5pp
51% → 0%
Mar 25, 2026
Peak probability
65% YES — highest in period
Mar 24, 2026
Current
0% YES (-50.5pp recent)
Mar 25, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.0%
EV per $ wagered
-1.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Josh Hart: Points O/U 11.5" at 51% YES / 49% NO. In the last 24 hours, $7K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 51%. The bid-ask spread is 95.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 24, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-25). "Josh Hart: Points O/U 11.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 51%, NO 49%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1697218
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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