Markets/Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?

Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?

Data as of Mar 29, 2026, 08:55 PM UTC

Closes March 30, 2026

Polymarket Price

51%YES

49%NO

Volume 24h

$10

Liquidity

Bid / Ask

2% / 100%

Spread

97.70pp

Expert Signal

51%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 51%99%

Buy YES@ 51¢

-0.1%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 49¢

Edge

+0.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.1%

½ Kelly0.0%

Buy NO—+0.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.1%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?" at 51% YES / 49% NO. In the last 24 hours, $10 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 51%. The bid-ask spread is 97.70 percentage points. The market closes on March 30, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-29). "Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 51%, NO 49%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1704092

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