Markets/Timberwolves vs. Mavericks

Timberwolves vs. Mavericks

Data as of Mar 30, 2026, 10:26 PM UTC

Closes March 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

74%YES

27%NO

Volume 24h

$510K

Liquidity

$151K

Bid / Ask

74% / 75%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

75%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

Event Distribution

Timberwolves vs. Mavericks

Full event →

Timberwolves vs. Mavericks

75%

Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: O/U 235.5

50%

Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: O/U 236.5

48%

3 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

+2.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

72% YES

Mar 30, 2026

Current

74% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 30, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 74%99%

Buy YES@ 74¢

Edge

+0.7%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.9%

½ Kelly0.9%

Buy NO@ 27¢

-1.9%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+0.7% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.9%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Timberwolves vs. Mavericks" at 74% YES / 26% NO. In the last 24 hours, $510K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 75%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-30). "Timberwolves vs. Mavericks." Prediction market snapshot: YES 74%, NO 26%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1704247

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.