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Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 31?
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Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 31?

Closed March 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

0%YES
100%NO

Volume 24h

$123K

Liquidity

$0

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+100.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 31?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $123K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on March 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-04). "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 31?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1705512

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-10.9pp

Key Moments

First recorded

11% YES

Mar 24, 2026

Trough probability

0% YES — lowest in period

Mar 31, 2026

Biggest move: -29.4pp

30% → 0%

Mar 31, 2026

Peak probability

38% YES — highest in period

Mar 31, 2026

Current

0% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 31, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 1%99%
Buy YES@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this