Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 31?
Closes March 31, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$10K
Liquidity
$15K
Bid / Ask
16% / 20%
Spread
3.90pp
Expert Signal
23%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 31?" at 23% YES / 77% NO. In the last 24 hours, $10K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 23%. The bid-ask spread is 3.90 percentage points. The market closes on March 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 31?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 23%, NO 77%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1705588
This event has 3 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,20: 23%, price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,30: 0%, price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,40: 0%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~77%.
price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
14% YES
Mar 31, 2026
Trough probability
3% YES — lowest in period
Mar 31, 2026
Biggest move: -8.5pp
14% → 6%
Mar 31, 2026
Current
11% YES (+6.2pp recent)
Mar 31, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+2.2%
EV per $ wagered
-0.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this