Markets/Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Mets

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Mets

Data as of Mar 26, 2026, 10:51 PM UTC

Closes April 2, 2026

Polymarket Price

0%YES

100%NO

Volume 24h

$574K

Liquidity

$761K

Expert Signal

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+100.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-47.4pp

Key Moments

First recorded

48% YES

Mar 26, 2026

Biggest move: -38.0pp

48% → 10%

Mar 26, 2026

Current

0% YES (-0.6pp recent)

Mar 26, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 1%99%

Buy YES@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Mets" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $574K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 2, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-26). "Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Mets." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1711480

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Venue Divergence

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